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Heloise’s Oscar Picks and Predictions 2011–updated

first published at Blogcritics.org on January 30, 2011 http://blogcritics.org/video/article/heloises-academy-award-picks-and-predictions/page-1/

When I wrote this who knew we would be talking about

 The King’s Sweep!

 I have been watching the new buzz on the film and the true historicity of it. While the present royals are a pain in the butt to me I do love British history can’t help it. So a little revision is in order because now I predict “The King’s Sweep” on Oscar night.

The Academy Awards are still a couple of weeks away. But that does not keep the critics from making predictions. First the list of the ten films nominated for best picture this year; a short synopsis which include a few of Heloise’s predictions and the outcome-whys:

Black Swan Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers

The Fighter David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers

Inception Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers

The Kids Are All Right Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers

The King’s Speech Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers

127 Hours Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers

The Social Network Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin, Producers

Toy Story 3 Darla K. Anderson, Producer

True Grit Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers

Winter’s Bone Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers

Five of the ten films have also been nominated for Screen Actors’ Guild Awards (SAG) airing on January 30, 2011. The five from SAG:The King’s Speech; The Social Network; Black Swan, The Fighter, and The Kids Are All Right. My Top 10 list of films this year includes those SAG nominees and a few others not nominated. But this blog is for the Academy Awards.

The King’s Speech: This film ranked  #1 on my top ten list. I pick it to take home a SAG award as well as Oscar for best picture. Why? It has everything including what Academy members look for in a film: true-tale treatment. With a total of 12 nominations it will take home at least five or more, including best picture, best actor for Colin Firth, best directing for Tom Hooper, costume design, and sound mixing. The competition gets a little stiffer in other categories.  

Black Swan: The acting in Black Swan was superb. But for me the ballet and the dancing that goes with it was missing. Thus I don’t find it a strong contender for best film. Mila Kunis was overlooked as supporting for Oscar but has been nominated for SAG and could snag it. Swan wins best cinematography.

The Fighter: The fighter is a sleeper. It won’t win best picture but I predict that Melissa Leo wins Supporting Actress, Christian Bale Supporting Actor, Writing (original screenplay). The Figher made my Top 10 list.

Inception: I loved this movie. I reviewed it and heaped praise on it early on by predicting it would be nominated with a Best Picture nod. It could also be a spoiler come Academy day and may keep King’s Speech from sweeping. But it is really a long shot to win best picture. What could it win: best original score, and battle Black Swan for cinematography; win art direction; sound mixing and visual effects all highly possible. None of the cast are nominated.

The Kids Are All Right: This film made my Top 10 with its story line and acting. Three of the cast members are nominated. I don’t see it winning best picture, but I think the buzz is with Bening and she alone will win best actress in a drama. Beyond that is unpredictable IMO.

127 Hours: This is the only nomination I have not seen. I have a problem with torture and stayed away from this film. I put it on my Top 10 list, although I don’t think it has a chance of winning best picture or best actor. It is nominated for adapted screenplay along with The Social Network. But I think Network takes that one..

The Social Network: I’ve seen this film twice. The beginning is by far the best. I don’t see it upsetting SAG awards or Academy. I predict it won’t win best picture for either. Jesse Einsenberg is nominated for best actor but he will leave empty-handed I predict. He has too much competition in James Franco and Colin Firth. And besides he is the only one nominated in this film for acting. Was Justin Timberlake snubbed? What award do I see for The Social Network: best adapted screenplay. The film closely followed the book it was based on.

Toy Story 3: What a funny film. With nice toys taking up arms against sinister ones found in a daycare center. I laughed out loud to my surprise. It’s good and I can see why it was nominated. This Disney film should win best animated feature film.

True Grit: May not be one of the Coen brothers best efforts to date. It may be a make-up nomination not sure. The acting was good, but the story did not hold my interest and the tension and thrill were just not what I expected from the Coens. What can it win is a better question than what will it win?

Winter’s Bone: A dark film with an unforgettable performance by Jennifer Lawrence as the teen who searches for her druggie dad in the dead of winter.  Now, if she were not going up against Annette Bening and Natalie Portman then I would say that the buzz is with her. Alas, it’s not.

Post script: I was unable to screen Biutiful with Javier Bardem. He was nominated for actor in a leading role but I don’t think he will win it this year. Costume design to Alice In Wonderland.  Film editing: Tariq Anwar for The King’s Speech. Sound editing: Unstoppable, the film I enjoyed  most this year. Finally, best Foreign Language Film: Biutiful (Mexico) because of Bardem, can’t wait to see his performance. That last prediction is a long shot because I have not seen any of the best foreign films nominated. But my prediction for best picture this year is not a long shot but a rather articulate film: The King’s Speech.

Read more: http://blogcritics.org/video/article/heloises-academy-award-picks-and-predictions/page-3/#ixzz1CZecgAFT

Academy Awards Nominations: January 25th Oscar Nods

Actor in a Leading Role

  • Javier Bardem in “Biutiful”
  • Jeff Bridges in “True Grit”
  • Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network”
  • Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech”
  • James Franco in “127 Hours”

Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Christian Bale in “The Fighter”
  • John Hawkes in “Winter’s Bone”
  • Jeremy Renner in “The Town”
  • Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right”
  • Geoffrey Rush in “The King’s Speech”

Actress in a Leading Role

  • Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”
  • Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole”
  • Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter’s Bone”
  • Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”
  • Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine”

Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Amy Adams in “The Fighter”
  • Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech”
  • Melissa Leo in “The Fighter”
  • Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit”
  • Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom”

Animated Feature Film

  • “How to Train Your Dragon” Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois
  • “The Illusionist” Sylvain Chomet
  • “Toy Story 3” Lee Unkrich

Art Direction

  • “Alice in Wonderland”
    Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara
  • “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1”
    Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
  • “Inception”
    Production Design: Guy Hendrix Dyas; Set Decoration: Larry Dias and Doug Mowat
  • “The King’s Speech”
    Production Design: Eve Stewart; Set Decoration: Judy Farr
  • “True Grit”
    Production Design: Jess Gonchor; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh

Cinematography

  • “Black Swan” Matthew Libatique
  • “Inception” Wally Pfister
  • “The King’s Speech” Danny Cohen
  • “The Social Network” Jeff Cronenweth
  • “True Grit” Roger Deakins

Costume Design

  • “Alice in Wonderland” Colleen Atwood
  • “I Am Love” Antonella Cannarozzi
  • “The King’s Speech” Jenny Beavan
  • “The Tempest” Sandy Powell
  • “True Grit” Mary Zophres

Directing

  • “Black Swan” Darren Aronofsky
  • “The Fighter” David O. Russell
  • “The King’s Speech” Tom Hooper
  • “The Social Network” David Fincher
  • “True Grit” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

Documentary (Feature)

  • “Exit through the Gift Shop” Banksy and Jaimie D’Cruz
  • “Gasland” Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic
  • “Inside Job” Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs
  • “Restrepo” Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger
  • “Waste Land” Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley

Documentary (Short Subject)

  • “Killing in the Name” Nominees to be determined
  • “Poster Girl” Nominees to be determined
  • “Strangers No More” Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon
  • “Sun Come Up” Jennifer Redfearn and Tim Metzger
  • “The Warriors of Qiugang” Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon

Film Editing

  • “Black Swan” Andrew Weisblum
  • “The Fighter” Pamela Martin
  • “The King’s Speech” Tariq Anwar
  • “127 Hours” Jon Harris
  • “The Social Network” Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter

Foreign Language Film

  • “Biutiful” Mexico
  • “Dogtooth” Greece
  • “In a Better World” Denmark
  • “Incendies” Canada
  • “Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)” Algeria

Makeup

  • “Barney’s Version” Adrien Morot
  • “The Way Back” Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng
  • “The Wolfman” Rick Baker and Dave Elsey

Music (Original Score)

  • “How to Train Your Dragon” John Powell
  • “Inception” Hans Zimmer
  • “The King’s Speech” Alexandre Desplat
  • “127 Hours” A.R. Rahman
  • “The Social Network” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

Music (Original Song)

  • “Coming Home” from “Country Strong” Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
  • “I See the Light” from “Tangled” Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater
  • “If I Rise” from “127 Hours” Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
  • “We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3″ Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
  • Best Picture

    • “Black Swan” Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers
    • “The Fighter” David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers
    • “Inception” Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers
    • “The Kids Are All Right” Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers
    • “The King’s Speech” Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers
    • “127 Hours” Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers
    • “The Social Network” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin, Producers
    • “Toy Story 3” Darla K. Anderson, Producer
    • “True Grit” Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers
    • “Winter’s Bone” Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers

    Short Film (Animated)

    • “Day & Night” Teddy Newton
    • “The Gruffalo” Jakob Schuh and Max Lang
    • “Let’s Pollute” Geefwee Boedoe
    • “The Lost Thing” Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann
    • “Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)” Bastien Dubois

    Short Film (Live Action)

    • “The Confession” Tanel Toom
    • “The Crush” Michael Creagh
    • “God of Love” Luke Matheny
    • “Na Wewe” Ivan Goldschmidt
    • “Wish 143” Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite

    Sound Editing

    • “Inception” Richard King
    • “Toy Story 3” Tom Myers and Michael Silvers
    • “Tron: Legacy” Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague
    • “True Grit” Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey
    • “Unstoppable” Mark P. Stoeckinger

    Sound Mixing

    • “Inception” Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
    • “The King’s Speech” Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley
    • “Salt” Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
    • “The Social Network” Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
    • “True Grit” Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland

    Visual Effects

    • “Alice in Wonderland” Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips
    • “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi
    • “Hereafter” Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojanski and Joe Farrell
    • “Inception” Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
    • “Iron Man 2” Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick

    Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

    • “127 Hours” Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
    • “The Social Network” Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
    • “Toy Story 3” Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
    • “True Grit” Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
    • “Winter’s Bone” Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

    Writing (Original Screenplay)

    • “Another Year” Written by Mike Leigh
    • “The Fighter” Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson;
      Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
    • “Inception” Written by Christopher Nolan
    • “The Kids Are All Right” Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
    • “The King’s Speech” Screenplay by David Seidler

     


    Golden Globes Best Drama, best actor and best actress (The Buzz is with Bening)

    Here are the nominees for the best dramas of 2011:

    Best Motion Picture–Drama nominees: Black Swan, The Fighter. Inception, The King’s Speech and  The Social Network.

    The winner: The Social Network

    The Golden Globe for best actor, comedy or musical goes to Paul Giamatti in “Barney’s Version”

     Best Performance Dramatic–actress: Halle Berry – Frankie and Alice; Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole; Jennifer Lawrence – Winter’s Bone; Natalie Portman – Black Swan; Michelle Williams – Blue Valentine.

    The winner: Natalie Portman (not really the best though sorry)

    Best Performance Dramatic–actor: Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network; Colin Firth – The King’s Speech; James Franco – 127 Hours; Ryan Gosling – Blue Valentine; Mark Wahlberg – The Fighter.

    The winner:  Colin Firth (my main man)

    Best performance actress in a comedy or musical: Annette Bening – The Kids Are All Right; Anne Hathaway – Love & Other Drugs; Angelina Jolie – The Tourist; Julianne Moore – The Kids Are All Right; Emma Stone – Easy A

    Winner: Annette Bening

    Best Performance–actress supporting role/drama: Amy Adams – The Fighter; Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech; Mila Kunis – Black Swan; Melissa Leo – The Fighter; Jacki Weaver – Animal Kingdom

    Winner: Melissa Leo – The Fighter

    Interesting that the only nominated film that is about a woman is Black Swan.

    Read more: http://blogcritics.org/video/article/golden-globes-winners-and-losers/#ixzz1BFn5fAcm

    Jeff Bridges Win for Best Actor

    as predicted. My TV is now acting up. I ain’t in NYC! I fixed my technical difficulty.

    It seems that Avatar should be winning more. Must be the 10 nominees. Fuck that. Go back to five. Jeff gave a very long speech but he deserved the win.

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