Not sure about that this year. It seems the the top films are male-heavy contenders. And I did not see Black Swan, and really don’t plan to see it.
So where does that leave the critics? Natalie Portman starred in Black Swan, and then there is Annette Benning. And this is the year of the gays IMO. Annette is my bet. She played alongside Julianne Moore in “The Kids are All Right” it’s a good film and could easily be nominated for best picture this year.
Both women nailed the roles so my guess is that both will get nods. Hillary Swank played the lead in Convinction but don’t get the buzz about her. She does NOT have my vote either. The only other film is “Rabbit Hole” starring Nicole Kidman. The film might win something and Kidman might get a nomination but it is harder to play a gay role with a straight face than a straight role with a sad face.
Okay, it’s settled my bet is Benning for 2011.