I predict a three-way tie
The reporting precincts this far have a 3-way tie. It may not hold and somebody will be declared a winner. I can’t help but predict a three-way tie that is statistically tied, meaning within one or two points.
I am not surprised that Saint Rumi or Rick Santorum has surged in the polls. In a way he the Obama conservative for the GOP. I mean except for losing many of his races he is about as inexperienced as Obama was when he ran for office.
Santorum may not be a winner and if he’s not a winner at heart then that’s a problem. He can come out of his losing doldrums by winning or placing second in the next three contests. Of course it’s winner take all in South Carolina.
If Rick Perry weren’t so, Texan, he would be surging in the polls too. Perry surged before he even opened his mouth. Just by getting in the race because the GOPers were so anxious for the “not-Romney” candidate they latched onto Perry. Now that he has opened his mouth the crowds have gone away.
Top tier: Mitt Romney; Rick Santorum; Ron Paul is what it looks like now. Who will pull ahead of the pack of contenders (my word) ? Who knows?
- Iowa Poll Shows Paul-Romney-Santorum Dead Heat (huffingtonpost.com)
- Jon-Christopher Bua: The Iowa Test: State of Play (huffingtonpost.co.uk)
- Iowa Caucus the big day approaches for GOP, predictions (examiner.com)
- Who wins Iowa on Tuesday Jan 3rd? (heloise8.wordpress.com)
Posted on January 2, 2012, in Government Trough and tagged barack obama, Mitt Romney, New Hampshire, Newt Gingrich, obama, republican, republicans, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, south carolina. Bookmark the permalink. 2 Comments.